What the Numbers Tell

1. Revenue, COGS, and Gross Margin

The Core Measures of How a Company Makes Money

Every business earns revenue, incurs direct costs to deliver its product or service, and keeps the difference as gross profit.
These three metrics reveal pricing power, cost efficiency, and the fundamental health of the business model.

Revenue — The Total Income From Sales

Revenue shows how much money the company generates from its core offering.

Revenue is shaped by:
• Price
• Volume
• Mix of products or services
• Customer retention
• Market growth
• Seasonality
• Contract structure (subscription vs. transactional)

Stable or growing revenue indicates demand and competitive relevance.

Revenue Quality Matters

High-quality revenue is:
• Recurring or repeatable
• Predictable
• Diversified
• Low-churn
• Essential to the customer
• Supported by strong customer relationships

Low-quality revenue is volatile, concentrated, or one-time.

COGS — Cost of Goods Sold

COGS includes all direct costs required to deliver the product or service.

For product companies:
• Raw materials
• Components
• Direct labor
• Manufacturing overhead
• Freight and distribution
• Packaging

For service or software companies:
• Labor
• Hosting
• Support costs
• Third-party tools

Lower COGS → higher gross margin → stronger economics.

Gross Margin — Revenue Minus COGS

Gross margin reflects pricing power and cost structure.
High gross margin businesses can reinvest more heavily in growth.

2. EBITDA, Operating Income, Net Income

Three Layers of Profitability

Profitability is measured at multiple levels.
Each adds more expenses and tells a deeper story.

EBITDA — Operating Performance Before Non-Cash Items

EBITDA excludes:
• Interest
• Taxes
• Depreciation
• Amortization

It shows core operating performance before capital intensity or financing structure.

Why Investors Use EBITDA

• Comparable across companies
• Provides a clean first look
• Helps in valuation (EV/EBITDA)
• Useful for asset-light businesses

Operating Income (EBIT) — Profit After Depreciation & Amortization

EBIT = EBITDA – Depreciation – Amortization

EBIT reflects:
• Equipment wearing down
• Software/intangibles being amortized
• True operating profitability

EBIT is more accurate for capital-intensive businesses.

Net Income — Profit After Everything

Net income includes:
• Interest
• Taxes
• All expenses
• All non-cash items

Net income is essential for long-term sustainability and valuation, but not enough on its own.

3. Cash Flow (Operating, Investing, Financing)

How Money Actually Moves Through a Business

A company can show strong accounting profits but run out of cash — or weak profits but strong cash flow.
The cash flow statement separates reality from accounting.

Operating Cash Flow (OCF)

OCF measures cash generated by day-to-day operations.

Includes:
• Cash from customers
• Cash to suppliers
• Cash to employees
• Changes in AR/AP/inventory
• Non-cash items (depreciation, amortization)

Why OCF Matters

Shows whether the business can:
• Sustain itself without external funding
• Invest in growth
• Pay dividends or buy back stock
• Reduce debt
• Survive downturns

OCF is the most important long-term health indicator.

Investing Cash Flow (ICF)

ICF reflects long-term investments.

Includes:
• CapEx
• Acquisitions
• Joint ventures
• Asset sales

Negative ICF is normal for growing companies.

Financing Cash Flow (FCF)

FCF includes:
• New debt or repayments
• Equity issuance or buybacks
• Dividends

Reveals how a company funds itself and rewards owners.

4. Working Capital (AR, AP, Inventory)

The Cash Tied Up in Daily Operations

Working capital measures how much cash the business needs to run every day.

Good working capital management → better cash flow & lower risk.
Poor management → bottlenecks, shortages, financial stress.

Accounts Receivable (AR)

Money owed to the company.

High AR may indicate:
• Slow customer payments
• Weak credit practices
• Billing disputes

Low AR → strong collection discipline.

Key metrics:
• Days sales outstanding (DSO)
• Aging schedules
• Bad debt trends

Accounts Payable (AP)

Money owed by the company.

High AP can signal:
• Strong negotiation leverage
• Favorable vendor terms

…or stress, if growing faster than revenue.

Key metric:
• Days payable outstanding (DPO)

Inventory

Represents cash tied up in goods.

High inventory → slow sales, forecasting issues
Low inventory → efficient operations, strong demand

Key metric:
• Days inventory outstanding (DIO)

5. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

Long-Term Investments That Keep the Business Running

CapEx includes:
• Manufacturing equipment
• Facilities
• Technology
• Vehicles
• Tools
• Infrastructure upgrades

CapEx builds capacity, efficiency, and competitiveness.

Two Types of CapEx

1. Maintenance CapEx

Keeps current operations running:
• Replace worn equipment
• Maintain facilities
• Meet safety/regulatory needs

2. Growth CapEx

Expands capacity or creates new revenue:
• Add production lines
• Enter new markets
• Build new technology

6. Return Ratios: ROIC, ROE, ROA

How Effectively a Company Turns Capital Into Profit

These ratios show how well the company uses money — both its own and others’ — to generate returns.

ROIC — Return on Invested Capital

ROIC = NOPAT ÷ (Debt + Equity)

ROIC shows:
• Business quality
• Pricing power
• Operational efficiency
• Discipline in capital allocation

High ROIC is one of the strongest signs of a great business.

ROE — Return on Equity

ROE = Net Income ÷ Shareholder Equity

Shows how well management uses equity to produce profit.

ROA — Return on Assets

ROA = Net Income ÷ Total Assets
Shows efficiency of asset use.

7. The Three Financial Statements

How They Work Together

Income statement — Did we make a profit?
Balance sheet — What do we own and owe?
Cash flow statement — How does cash actually move?

Together they reveal:
• Performance
• Liquidity
• Risk
• Long-term health

Income Statement

Measures profit over a period.

Shows:
• Revenue
• COGS
• Gross profit
• Operating expenses
• EBIT
• Interest and taxes
• Net income

Reveals margin structure, profitability, and cost discipline.

Balance Sheet

Snapshot at a point in time.

Shows:
• Assets
• Liabilities
• Equity

Reveals financial strength and risk.

Cash Flow Statement

Shows actual cash movement.

Connects:
• Net income
• Working capital changes
• CapEx
• Debt & equity actions

8. The Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC)

How Fast a Business Turns Operations Into Cash

CCC =
Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO)

  • Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
    Days Payable Outstanding (DPO)

Shorter = stronger cash generation.
Longer = more capital required, higher financial risk.

9. The Goal of Every Business

Turn Revenue Into Profit → Profit Into Cash → Cash Into Growth

A strong financial engine lets a company:
• Scale
• Reinvent
• Invest
• Survive downturns
• Create long-term value

Financials tell the story of how well the business actually works.

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