What Happened

  • The crisis was triggered by the collapse of the U.S. housing market after years of rising home prices, aggressive lending, and the belief that housing “never goes down.”

  • Banks issued large volumes of subprime and adjustable-rate mortgages to borrowers with limited ability to repay.

  • These mortgages were bundled into mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and complex products like CDOs, which were rated far safer than they truly were.

  • When home prices stopped rising in 2006–07 and defaults increased, the value of these securities collapsed.

  • Major institutions such as Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, and AIG were heavily exposed and lacked sufficient capital.

  • The result was a global liquidity freeze and the deepest economic downturn since the Great Depression.

What Drove the Crisis

  • Distorted incentives: Originators were paid to issue loans, not assess credit quality; investment banks were rewarded for creating products, not ensuring safety.

  • Rating agency failures: Conflicts of interest led to overly optimistic ratings on risky mortgage securities.

  • Investor appetite for yield: Investors bought complex products they did not fully understand.

  • Extreme leverage: Thin capital ratios, heavy reliance on short-term funding, and massive exposure to mortgage-linked assets magnified every loss.

  • Interconnected markets: Defaults spread rapidly through derivatives and wholesale funding networks.

  • Once confidence broke, the entire system unraveled.

Investor Lessons

  • Systemic risk grows quietly when incentives reward volume over solvency.

  • Markets can look stable while hidden risks accumulate off balance sheet or inside complex products.

  • Liquidity disappears exactly when it is most needed.

  • Financial models fail when their assumptions fail; correlations rise sharply under stress.

  • Investors must understand underlying collateral, avoid dependence on continuous refinancing, and evaluate counterparty risk.

  • Financial systems break when confidence breaks — the most fragile layer in the entire structure.